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Personal Finance

Pay Yourself First (Again)?

I just started reading the book “Smart Couples Finish Rich” and one of the first things it mentions is to “pay yourself first”. This advice is similar to the “Wealthy Barber” and probably every other personal finance book ever written. Usually this involves getting money deducted from your bank account automatically so that you don’t miss it and it gets saved for retirement or vacations or whatever.

While I think this is a good strategy for a lot of people, in some cases it’s really bad advice. In particular, people that have excessive debt should be focusing their saving efforts on their debts and nothing else – not their retirements or vacations. Now someone in that situation might ask why they shouldn’t be paying themselves first as well and the answer is that they already have paid themselves, in some cases they might have overpaid themselves by a long shot. The reality is that debt results from spending more than you earn, in some cases this can’t be helped but in most cases it results from a deliberate decision to spend more money ie on a bigger, more expensive house (I did this), more vacations, newer cars etc. Sometimes it results from just not keeping track of your finances properly. Regardless of how you end up in the situation of having excessive debt, you eventually have to pay the piper. Some people choose to tackle debt head on by cutting their spending and reducing the debt as fast as they can. Others will cut back a bit and reduce the debt at their leisure. The remainder will ignore it completely and will pay during their retirement when they have a lower standard of living because they still have debt they have to service.

Please note that I’m not referring to deductible debt ie the type you have with an investment loan.

Do you have a lot of debt? How do you know if it’s excessive?

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Book Review

A Fool and His Money – Book Review

This book is written by John Rothchild who took a year off in order to learn how to make lots of money through investments and then write a book about it. He did learn a lot about investments and the various financial institutions that deal with them, but he ended up losing most of his money. Luckily his sense of humour makes this book a pretty good read since there is very little useful investment information in it.

I would rate Rothchild as one of the worst investors of all time. Even though he manages to figure out some good investment advice such as an investor would be better off just buying the market rather than trying to beat it, he continually makes investment decisions that seem to be based more on trying new types of investments ie options and investing in commodities rather than on any type of investment knowledge. Even his equity buys are based on hot tips.

He interviews with a lot of industry employees including traders, analysts and executives, he evens visits with a forecaster/astrologist who apparently is the most accurate forecaster of all the people Rothchild meets with in the books. The option spread that he bought as a result of the astrologist’s recommendation is one of the few investments that makes him money.

Rothchild manages to visit a lot of financial institutions including the New York Federal Reserve Bank otherwise known as the “Fed”, sneaks onto the floor of the New York Stock Exchange and gets quite a few interviews with various investment personnel in the industry. One particularly funny section describes how he managed to get an interview with a highly paid analyst covering Gillette which he had just bought. From that analyst he manages to see several other top analysts and finds out that they all get their information straight from Gillette and their main concerns are keeping Gillette and their big clients happy and finding out what the other analysts had to say about Gillette.

If you are looking for an amusing read with a bit of financial information thrown in for good measure then this book is probably for you.

Categories
Personal Finance

Repay HBP or pay down mortgage?

This post is a continuation of Monday’s post which concluded that making an extra rrsp contribution is better than making an extra HBP repayment. Today’s issue is whether it’s better to make an extra HBP repayment or pay down the mortgage.

This one is not as clear cut as the rrsp vs HBP issue. If you put money into the rrsp then you could potentially make a better rate of return compared to the interest on your mortgage, on the other hand, paying down the mortgage gives the guaranteed return of your interest rate.

I would say that for a typical example of someone who owes a lot more on their mortgage than they do on their HBP, the deciding factor is interest rate risk. This is something which I’ve talked about previously and basically it refers to the risk involved if interest rates go up. One great feature of the HBP is that there is no interest rate risk because there is no interest paid. Regardless of what the prime rate is, or mortgage rates are, the amount you owe on the HBP is constant. Your mortgage however, has no such benefit since the interest charged will go up or down with the mortgage rates.

If you have extra money and you make an extra HBP repayment, then your interest rate risk will not change. If you instead make an extra payment to your mortgage, then your interest rate risk will decrease.

Bottom line then is that you should consider making extra mortgage payments and rrsp contributions before paying extra HBP payments. In my case I plan to completely pay off my mortgage and max out my rrsp and only then will I consider making extra payments to the HBP.

Categories
Real Estate

House Bidding Wars

I read yet another article in the newspaper today about a bidding war in Toronto and how this is supposedly a big problem for people who are trying to buy a new house, especially if it’s their first one.

The article covered a house sale sale where they were asking $1.3 million and got $1.9 million which is pretty amazing when you consider they got almost 50% more than they were asking for. Now I don’t know if this house is worth $1.9 million or not but from the description it sure sounds like a pretty good house in a pretty good area.

Later in the article there were some comments from real estate agents who were saying that a lot of their clients are tired of getting into bidding wars and having houses sell for more than asking. They also mentioned how some clients just refuse to rent because they have been taught (brainwashed?) about the value of house ownership by their boomer parents. I think those house buyers should consider the value of renting according to Financial Jungle. Ok, it’s a different city but the logic still applies.

Know your real estate market

When I was looking for my current house, I made an effort to look at as many houses as possible in order to get a sense of the market value for the type of house we wanted. Normally what I would do is look at a house, and then see what it would sell for. After a while I noticed that there were some houses that sold for over asking (bidding war), some houses that sold for around the asking price (quick sales) and some houses that sold for less than the original asking price, in some cases much less (greedy, delusional sellers).

Asking price is meaningless

What did I learn from this? Mainly that the asking price doesn’t mean anything. It’s up the buyer to know roughly what the house is worth by getting familiar with the market. If you look at a house and think it will be a steal for $450k, then guess what…you won’t be alone, since there will probably be other people who will be thinking the same thing. Don’t complain if the house ends up going for $500k or $550k. If that’s what it’s worth then that’s what it will sell for. The other thing for buyers to consider, especially for their first house is that maybe their dream of owning a detached house on a nice street on their limited budget is a fantasy and they should start looking at different areas, semi-detached houses, townhouses and condos and just work with that they have.

Categories
Personal Finance

Guaranteed Stupidity

I’ve been of the opinion that financial products that guarantee that you won’t “lose” any of your original investment and also offer an upside due to an equity component are not a good deal because of the high fees involved. Jonathan Chevreau covers some of these products today in his blog and article which got me thinking about the fact that financial companies are no different than any other companies in that if there is a market for a product then they will produce that product and try to make as much profit as possible. The reason that it’s possible for them to offer inferior financial products at a profit is simply because of the ignorance of the consumer.

If an investor buys a principal guaranteed product which entitles them to get their original investment back regardless of how the equity portion does, have they really conserved all their capital? In fact if you invest $10,000 today and then sell the investment in 10 years for $10,000 then your investment will be worth only $7374 in today’s dollars at 3% inflation. Inflation is one of the more important aspects of financial planning and cannot be ignored.

That investor would be better far better off to create their own low cost portfolio of at least 40% equity in order to keep up with inflation.

Even if said investor was still willing to ignore inflation and wanted to guarantee their “principal”, what they should do is create their own guaranteed product by buying a combination of GICs and equity (low cost index funds or ETFs). If for example you could buy a 10 year GIC at 4% then the above investor could invest $6755 in the GIC and the remaining $3244 in a couple of equity index funds. After 10 years, the worst case scenario is the equity component is worth $0 and the GICs will be worth $10,000 which will mean that the investor still has his original $10,000. A more likely scenario is that the equities will obtain a return – let’s say 7% which will mean that the equity portion will end up being worth $6382 and the final investment will be worth $16382 which gives the investor a return of 5% which beats the inflation by 2%. Obviously over a 10 year time period the equity returns could vary greatly.

Categories
Personal Finance

Repay Home Buyers Plan or Contribute to RRSP?

I had a discussion last year with my wife where we talked about whether to give our home buyer’s plan debt priority over rrsp contributions.

Although it initially seemed like a good idea to pay the HBP back as soon as possible since it was a smaller amount (about 30k combined), it occurred to me that if you have any rrsp contribution room then you are much better off just paying the minimum HBP repayment amount each year and use any extra money that you want to put into the rrsp for a contribution.

The reason behind this is that whether you are paying back HBP or making an rrsp contribution, the amount that gets added to the rrsp is the same so since the rrsp contribution will give a tax rebate, that is generally the better choice.

For example, let’s say if I have $5000 that I want to put into my rrsp and my minimum annual HBP payment is $1333 and my marginal tax rate is 40%.

If I were to make the minimum HBP payment and contribute the remaining $3667 into my rrsp then my rrsp would have an extra $5000 in it and I would get a tax rebate of $1466.80.

If I were to put the entire $5000 into a HBP repayment then my rrsp would have an extra $5000 in it and I would not get any tax rebate. I would however owe less money to the HBP and future minimum payments will be smaller.

So it’s pretty clear to me that if you have the choice between contributing to your rrsp or extra repayments into your HBP – the rrsp is the winner.

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Announcements

Golden Blog Award

A quick thank you to the Money Gardener who was kind enough to award this site with a golden blog in the category of “Best Use of a National Symbol”.

This is a very exciting milestone in the history of the Four Pillars blog.

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Announcements

I’m Back!

Ok, I’m back from a great holiday and will resume regular posts on Monday.

It’s interesting that when I’m at home or work it’s all I can do to stay off the internet but when I go on holiday and don’t have access to the internet then I don’t even think about it!

See you on Monday!