Categories
Announcements

New Blog Showcase And LinkStuff For Monday, June 8

Blog Showcase – Weakonomics

I haven’t featured any individual blogs in quite a while but I’ve been reading Weakonomics for a while and I have to say that I’m really impressed by this blog.  The author (Phil) is smart, creative, funny and undoubtedly good looking.  In other words – the complete opposite to anything you’ll find around here. 🙂  He’s been at it for just over a year so there are lots of good articles to peruse.

If you like your financial posts with a dash of wit and intelligence then I strongly urge you to subscribe via email or RSS feed to receive his stuff.  He likes talking about economics, investing and many other aspects of personal finance that he finds interesting.

Here are some posts you can check out:

Links of the week

Amateur Asset Allocator thinks that women should buy their own engagement ring. Well good luck finding someone with that attitude!!  🙂 Seriously, I think the issue is the cost – why does anyone have to waste pay so much for a ring?

M is for Money talks about her uncle giving up his house to foreclosure.  I don’t disagree with his decision but her analysis leaves a lot to be desired….let me guess, he had no idea house prices didn’t go up forever?   He’s no innocent victim.

He bought a house he could afford and lived within his means, he isn’t the poster child for irresponsibility you see portrayed every day. Rather he is one of the unintended victims of this current crisis who never realized the danger they were in.

One Mint explains why GM is not trading at zero.  (Not that it would ever actually trade for zero – but you know what I mean).

The rest of the links

Thicken My Wallet says that taxes are going up so hire a tax accountant.  I disagree (see my comment).

The Oblivious Investor has a list of 35 resources for anyone is is not debt-free and wants to learn to invest.

Million Dollar Journey has 8 ways to keep your kids busy this summer.

Financial Blogger tells you how to negotiate a raise during a recession.

Good Financial Cents came up with four things that are making you poor.

The Intelligent Speculator explains target date ETFs.

Money Ning reviews the Ally bank.

ABCs of Investing says that stock prices don’t represent stock value.

Carnivals

Carnival of 20 Somethings – Sesame Street edition!!

Festival of Frugality

Money Hacks Carnival

Carnival of Financial Planning

Economy and Your Finances Carnival

Categories
Money

VA Stimulus Check On The Way

The 2009 stimulus package signed by president Obama contains quite a few financial stimulus for many different parts of the population.  Infrastructure spending, tax cuts make up most of the bill but one of the key aspects to the package is a special cash payment.  This won’t be like the general stimulus check of last year but will be given to select groups such as retired veterans on disability.

$250 stimulus check in 2009

A one time payment of $250 will be paid out in 2009 for people in the following groups:

  • People currently receiving Social Security.
  • State government retirees not eligible for Social Security.
  • Veterans receiving pensions from the Department of Veteran Affairs.
  • People receiving SSI payments. Supplemental Security Income payments are for people who have little to no income and is intended to meet the basic needs for food, clothing and shelter.

When will I get my stimulus check?

Treasury is supposed to start sending out these checks as soon as possible.  This site will be updated when more information becomes available.

Categories
Money

Save Money With Zero Percent Balance Transfer Credit Card Offers

Everyone knows what credit cards are…unfortunately some of us know all too well how hard it can be to pay off the balances.  Once you get in the habit of only making the minimum balance on your credit card balance then it is very difficult to lower the debt because the interest rates are so high.  They often range from 18% to 30% annually which is very high.

If you owe $10,000 on a credit card that has 27% interest rate – your total interest payments if you only make the minimum payment will be approximately $2700 which is over a quarter of the original loan amount.  This is ridiculous – in order to deal with this situation you need to be able to pay significantly more than the minimum payment and be willing to pay off the balance in a reasonable amount of time (ie 6 months or less).  If that is too hard then you need to consider alternatives – and no I’m not talking about bankruptcy or missing payments!

Find out more about zero percent balance transfer credit card deals.  Not really sure what a balance transfer credit card is?

Transfer your high interest debt to a zero percent balance transfer credit card

Certain credit cards offer a program where you can transfer your existing high-interest credit card debt to a new credit card that has a zero interest rate for a certain period of time (usually 6 months to a year).  The idea is that you get a “grace” period where you can avoid any interest and instead make payments entirely to the principal of the loan.  This is the most efficient way to pay down or at least significantly reduce high-interest credit card debt.

This sounds too good to be true!

There is no such thing as a free lunch – the zero percent offer will only be around for a while.  After the offer expires then the interest rate will be much higher.  This is why it is so important to pay off as much as you can while the interest rate is zero.

Are there any balance transfer fees?

The transfer will be done for no charge or for a small percentage such as 3%.  It’s important to make sure you understand exactly what fees are involved.  Even if the transfer charge is 5% then you are going to save a lot of money in interest.

What is the catch?

There are a couple of things to watch out for with zero balance credit cards:

  • Don’t make any purchases with them.  The zero percent interest rate usually only applies to the amount transferred – not to any new purchases.  The sneaky thing is that the credit card companies will often apply any payments to the transfer amount (accruing at zero percent) and none to the purchase amount so you will pay a lot of interest for any new purchases.
  • The zero interest rate doesn’t last forever.  Whether it’s 6 months, 12 months or 18 years (this will never happen) – make sure you know exactly when the zero rate disappears and make plans to either pay off the loan, move to another zero balance or just psych yourself up for a higher interest rate.
  • Make the minimum payment on time.  Yes, there is still a minimum payment.  If this is missed then there may be fees and you could lose the zero interest rate.

Find out more about zero percent balance transfer credit card deals.

Recommended Zero Percent Balance Credit Card

Categories
Personal Finance

Creating a Fake Reputation

It’s been a while since we did a scam post.  Fake reputation scams happen on-line and off-line and can be one of the toughest frauds to detect or avoid.

On E*Bay it’s well known that malicious users will build up a reputation by selling small, inexpensive items (paperback books are popular) or by running an honest-to-goodness real E*Bay store.  They will follow through with the transactions and get a large amount of positive feedback.  Then they make a number of fraudulent auctions / sales and not fullfill any of them.

One of the worst (or best depending on your perspective) parts of electronic commerce is you can usually abandon an identity.  This allows the scammers to then start doing the exact same thing again under another name.

Off-line a friend of one of my relatives got burned by the real-life version of this.  He ran a computer business, and started doing business with a man for the first time.  They did a sequence of transactions, each larger than the last.  Each time there would be something unusual about the transaction, but it would work out, and he would get paid.

It turned out the con man was feeling him out, determining what he could get away with, and the maximum order size the friend could handle.  Eventually it was time to pull the trigger and the con-man managed to make off with dozens of computers without paying for them.  It destroyed the computer store owner, who abandoned his business (and his marriage) and basically had a nervous breakdown where he wandered the continent sleeping in the back of his SUV.  He was talking at one point about trying to hire a hit man, which luckily friends talked him out of.

Since these sorts of scams work by gaining our trust, there’s no sure-fire way to prevent it other than to be suspicious of everyone (which would cause its own problems).  When the friend who got conned was relating the experience to me, he remembered clearly that with each deal it seemed a bit funny.  It can be a hard thing to say “no” to someone, or to admit that we don’t understand a deal that’s being proposed.  Some people will prey on this reaction to try and take advantage.

When I was trying to rent my condo, a man showed up who was interested in a rent-to-own and we talked about that extensively (he was going to do a sandwich lease where he rents-to-own from me, then rents to his own tenant).  Discussing the details, he was very accommodating (and tried to buy me dinner).  Later, he tried to change elements of the deal that he had previously agreed on.  When I pointed out that what he was saying was different than what he’d previously agreed to, his response was “I have to admit I love the way you think , very detailed too detailed at times , just kidding” (notice that in the same sentence he’s complimenting me, then telling me that I’m “too detailed”).  He told me about 5 times that he didn’t think we should involve lawyers in the transaction (and I told him 5 times that I’d be involving a lawyer in the transaction and encouraged him to do the same).  Throughout our interactions, he also told me repeatedly how much he liked me (while it’s true that I *AM* a very likable guy, it’s just creepy to say it out loud).  I kept asking him questions and he eventually told me it was “none of my business” (when I’d asked him who he was planning to rent to).  This was enough red flags for me at that point that I just killed the deal and kept looking for a normal tenant.  I could be wrong and maybe everything would have worked on with the rent-to-own guy, but I hasn’t regretted for 1 second walking away from it.

Years ago when I went backpacking across Europe an aunt told me to trust my feelings and if I was getting a bad vibe about a person or situation to just leave.  I’ve found it was good advice when traveling, and is probably good advice for business and life as well.  There are times when you’ll be nervous about a deal, just because it’s larger or different than you’re used to.  But if you’re honestly getting a bad vibe about doing business with someone, make sure the safe-guards are in place that they won’t be able to “take the money and run” (and don’t be afraid to just not do business with them if they fight you when you try to put those safe-guards in place).

Have you ever had someone gain your trust, then steal from or defraud you?

Categories
Personal Finance

Is Dave Ramsey A “Financial Expert”

gazellesDave Ramsey is a fairly well known personal finance celebrity who is somewhat controversial for his methods. His fans love him and his detractors can’t find anything good to say about him.  He created the Dave Ramsey baby steps and if you really keen – you can attend the Dave Ramsey Financial Peace University. It seems there are large numbers of people either for him or against him.  One of the terms which is often applied (or self-applied) to Ramsey is that of “financial expert”.  This article will take a look at Ramsey’s various methods to determine if that title is accurate or not.

In short I would say that Dave Ramsey is definitely not a financial expert.  His main field of expertise is debt reduction motivation which is he very good at so maybe he should be called a “Debt Reduction Motivational Expert”.  This is not intended to be a criticism since the “financial expert” label implies a high level of knowledge of all things finance which is pretty much impossible for one person.

Dave Ramsey debt reduction snowball method

Ramsey’s “snowball” method is one of his most effective strategies as well as his most controversial.  Basically the idea is that if you have more than one loan – you should pay off the loans in order from smallest to largest in terms of the amount owing and ignore the various interest rates.  Someone who had a car loan of $5,000 at 7% and a credit card debt of $9,000 at 15% should pay off the smaller car loan completely before paying any extra on the credit card loan.
This strategy is purely psychological – it is quicker to pay off the smaller loan and the person trying to get out of debt will be able to experience some debt reduction success which will enable them to then tackle the larger loan.  If they try to pay off the larger loan first they have a higher chance of getting discouraged (because it’s taking longer) and giving up.
Logically the loans should be paid off in order of interest – highest to lowest regardless of the size of the loan.  To do differently will result in higher interest costs.
I’m a pretty numbers-oriented type of guy so there isn’t a chance in hell that I would pay more in interest just for the pleasure of paying of a smaller loan first, but Ramsey’s results speak for themselves – I’ve read about many people who were able to pay off or reduce their debts because of his methods.  Bottom line is that you have to do what works – if the end result is that the debts are paid off (and they stay off) then you’ve won the debt battle.  It’s as simple as that.

Dave Ramsey “gazelle intensity”

Another one of Ramsey’s methods is his attitude toward intensity – he says that if you are going to pay off debt then you have to hate debt and do everything you can to get rid of it.  He calls this “gazelle intensity“.  I didn’t know that gazelles were all that intense but that’s not important.
I can’t argue with this strategy – whether it’s reducing debt, cleaning your house, getting shape or just about anything that is difficult – there just isn’t anything wrong with making it a top priority and getting it done.  Of course you have to be reasonable – eating sub-standard cheap food to save money is not something that a self-respecting gazelle would likely do (intense or otherwise).

Dave Ramsey – “Pay off debt completely before investing”

This rule is so extreme that he even says don’t contribute to a 401k if you get an matching amount from your employer.  This might make sense for someone who is drowning in debt and every penny is important but most people should go for the 401k employer match even if they are trying to reduce their debt.  Once you get a handle on your debts then starting an investment plan is not a bad idea – if you are not quite ready for investing you should still spend some time learning about the basics of investing.

Some would argue that if expected equity returns are higher than your loan interest costs then you should invest before paying off the loan.  However they are ignoring the different risk characteristics of different asset classes (or comparing apples and oranges).  Paying off debt is a guaranteed return like investing in a high interest savings account.  Investing in equities or stocks has a higher risk.  There’s nothing wrong with either of those investment types but you have to consider your financial goals, investment time horizon and risk tolerance when choosing where to put your money.  The other thing to consider is that most unsecured debt probably has a higher interest rate than the expected equity returns anyways (I assume 7% for long term equity returns).

Investment knowledge

This is the area where Dave Ramsey is not very strong – he continues to say that equities will get 12% return which is not very realistic and he makes a lot of basic errors on his radio show.  Another problem is that he recommends using financial advisors who are paying him for the referrals so there is a conflict of interest.  For all the good that Dave does – investment advice is not part of it.

Is Dave Ramsey a financial expert?

Not really – but he has helped a ton of people to manage and reduce their debts so if you need help with debts then he’s a great option.  Just don’t listen to any of his investment advice.

If you want to learn more about Dave Ramsey then go check out Dave Ramsey – Financial guru review.

Photo credit to Durotriges

Categories
Business Ideas

Dynamically Associated Messaging Forums

I was originally going to stop after 20 wacky business ideas, but I think some people enjoy them (and they’re easy posts to write), so I’ll keep going with them.  Sorry if you’re sick of the whole category of posts (I’ll forgive our regular readers if they skip THESE POSTS – you MUST read everything else I write however).

Faceless (and potentially anonymous) communication has been an intriguing element of electronic interactions.  When we were teenage punks, a friend and I got on his brother’s CB radio and started moaning and groaning (and slapping our necks ala Christian Slater in “Pump up the Volume”) to disrupt the conversations.  I was a System Operator on a BBS, and the same troll behaviour would happen in the message forums, people would say antagonistic things (usually anonymously) then delight in watching the chaos that emerged.  It has long been known that people say things over the Internet that they would never dream of saying face-to-face.

You get the evolution of communities where they start out being really interesting, engaging forums where like-minded individuals meet up to chat, and if they last any length of time and grow, eventually they attract unpleasant users who drive out the old guard and destroy the place.  I talked about one solution to this in Wacky Business Idea #4, but this is another approach.

Basically users would join a website devoted to chatting (think Usenet, Yahoo Groups or any of the topical message forums such as Canadian Money Forums).  There wouldn’t be any specific topic, just people who want to chat in a group by leaving messages to one another.

When a new user joins, they would be in some general intro chat areas, and could start a new topic, or participate in existing topics.  Every user could give a thumbs up or a thumbs down (think StumbleUpon) to other users, or to a specific comment.  The system would do collaborative filtering to match up users who tend to like interacting with each other (or like the same messages / topics).  These users would then be put into a group with one another and could carry on their discussions privately.  This would be constantly recalculated, so if a user suddenly turned into a jerk (or a user was accidentally added to an inappropriate group), the flurry of thumbs down from other users would quickly eject them.

If good groups kept growing, at a certain point the system would view it as too many people to carry on discussions (or too many conversations occurring for members to follow), and break it into two groups (trying to match users with the sub-group that they’d be best suited for).  Conversely, if a group got too small or conversation died out, the system would merge it with another “quiet” group or add some new users who might be a match.

Groups could evolve to be focused on personal finance, technology, or movies (or just be general discussion that drifts through topics of interest to participants).

One option COULD be that people in groups could “invite” their friends to their private groups, however if the person quickly got “thumbed down” by the other participants, they’d be ejected from the group (and the system would do its best to introduce them to a new group of people they might be better suited to).

Hopefully the “self policing” nature would avoid the need to have moderators or heavy-handed controls in place, while still allowing user the feeling of being in control of who they interact with (and groups being able to protect themselves from users whose goal is to disrupt the community).

Categories
Announcements

LinkStuff For June 1 – Zoo Visit And Creative Topic Theme

We went to the Toronto zoo yesterday – it was pretty good but since our kids are so young, I don’t think they get much out of it.  It can be pretty expensive, however we used an Aeroplan gift card so it didn’t cost us much.  I was telling Frugal Trader that I thought a zoo visit isn’t really worthwhile until kids are 6 or 7 – does anyone out there have any experience with this?  Of course it doesn’t hurt to bring toddlers to the zoo – only that it’s a lot of money and hassle.  Zoo money tip – bring ALL your own food.  We bought 4 slices of pizza and it cost $18.  It was good though (very greasy & salty).  🙂

Creative posts

One of the things I like the most in blog posts is creative topics – ways to save money when grocery shopping just doesn’t pique my interest.  Here are a few posts that I thought were quite good and had creative topics:

  • Pinyo from Moolanomy had a good post called “Never say we can’t afford it“.  I’m not sure about the ‘never’ part but I tend to say this a lot even though it would be more accurate to say something about how it doesn’t fit in the budget or our financial goals.
  • Ron from the Wisdom Journal wrote about the “left digit“.  A very interesting post which talks about the effect of prices and how consumers don’t really roundup when comparison shopping.
  • Weakonomics wrote about the Ikea effect and why his blog is so much better than this one (which isn’t hard).
  • Jeff from Good Financial Cents had an entertaining guest post on the art of manliness blog (yes, there is such a thing) called How to be a financial stud.

And one other thing – MSN Smart Spending was kind of enough to feature one of my posts for the first time and they were very complimentary –   Is that frugal tactic worth it?

Carnivals

Carnival of Cash Flow Consciousness

Money Hacks Carnival

Carnival of Money, Wealth and Health

ABCs of Investing wrote about asset allocation for retirees.

Categories
Investing

Lending Club – 3 Years of Peer-to-Peer Lending

Three years ago I got into Lending Club with an American friend of mine (she could open the account, whereas I couldn’t).  This is a summary of my experiences.

Three years is a reasonable length of time to get a feel for a new investment vehicle like this, as this is the time length of loans Lending Club provides.  I’ve had people pay on time every month, pay late then get caught up, pay off their debt early and borrowers default on their debt – the full range of what can happen.  I’ve gained an understanding of why banks are as risk-adverse as they are (and am amazed that bankers don’t hate everybody – the amount of deceit in loan applications is shocking).

The concept behind peer-to-peer lending (I describe it to friends as “E*Bay for loans”) is that the company (Lending Club) acts as the middle man for lending between people.  Borrowers post a request for money, then lenders “bid” on how much they’ll loan that person, and at what interest rate.  Say I ask for a loan of $100 and Mike offers $60 at 12%, Squawkfox offers me $25 at 8% and the Canadian Capitalist offers me $75 at 10%.  The loan will be arranged at 8% 12% 10% between Squawkfox & CC (Mike will have been underbid) and myself.  Lending Club handles the loan documents, processing payments and discharging bad debts (so neither the lenders nor the borrowers need to understand the full legality of lending money – the company takes care of that).

Lending Club makes its money by taking a cut of the loan when it’s issued then taking a small portion from every payment.

Initially my friend and I put in $250 each, quickly loaned this out and were happy to see our account value growing from the high interest rate (and consistent repayments).  I congratulated my friend on how skilled we were in evaluating borrowers (since we hadn’t had a single default or late payment) and suggested we leverage her strong credit to borrow money from Lending Club to re-lend (with friends like Mr. Cheap, who needs enemies?).

Come August 2006, we borrowed  $2,500 and were quickly able to lend it out again.  We decided to pour all the repayments into early pay off of the debt (and were talking about starting lending again once the debt was repaid).  Projections looked good, and I was bragging to my friend (and other people I told about the concept / website) how we’d be making money unless there were a massive number of defaults.  On the forums, people were happily cackling about how much cash they were making and we were all patting ourselves on the back for getting in on such a good thing early.

Of course, that’s when the massive number of defaults hit.  Some lenders had talked about the insanely low rates that had been offered in the early days of Prosper (when there were far too many lenders and loans got bid down to very low rates).  Of course, we’d all done the exact same thing (and just didn’t realize it at the time).  Some new lenders were bragging in the forums about how skilful they were that they hadn’t had a single late payment or default (after two whole months!) and the old guard started to warn them to just wait, they soon would.

In April 2009 we paid off the last payment on our $2,500 loan (which had MOSTLY been covered by debt repayments, but we’d had to transfer in small amounts to cover it twice).  We put a total of about $660 into the account, and it’s currently valued at $318.62 ($234.91 in loans, some of which will probably default, and $83.71 in cash).  This is a LOSS of 48% 52% over 3 years.

Of the 50 loans we made, 12 have been paid back, 20 have been charged off (defaulted and sold for pennies on the dollar to a collection agency), 14 are current (payments up to date) and 4 are past due (and VERY likely to be charged off, two are heading to bankruptcy and I’m pretty pessimistic about the 3rd, which is 3 months late).  The one person that REALLY burned us was a fire fighter who had excellent credit, borrowed the money and never paid a single cent towards it (to me this was clearly fraud).

Some might argue that we must have been scraping the bottom of the barrel for loans, but this wasn’t the case.  Our portfolio was a mixture of A’s, B’s and C’s (we avoided people with lower credit scores).  We also ruled out people who had gone through bankruptcy or had a number of delinquencies on their credit report.  In spite of this, we had MASSIVE defaults BEFORE the financial crisis hit.

Another friend borrowed a few thousand from Prosper to start a business and got an excellent rate and got the loan more easily than getting a comparable loan from a bank (and at a very decent rate).

In summary, I would say first and foremost that investing with Mr. Cheap is almost always a bad idea (I should start a hedge fund and you can all short it!).  Peer-to-peer lending is an exciting concept, but the risk is currently being mispriced (in my opinion).  The rational response to this is to use these service as a BORROWER, not a lender.  If enough people do this, perhaps these services will get better at pricing risk and a fair reward will be offered for the risk the lenders are accepting.

Peer-to-peer lenders include Prosper and Lending Club in the US, Community Lend here in Canada and Zopa in the UK.

 

Other resources