This article stemmed from an excellent TFSA vs RRSP report written by Jamie Golombek of CIBC. Mark recounted a conversation with Golombek where Golombek’s answer to his “holy RRSP” theory was:
You may be surprised to learn that that 80% of all RRSP withdrawals are made by individuals under age 60, generally pre-retirement! Not much of a holy grail!
In Jamie’s report, the full text of that statistic is as follows:
Yet, cash-strapped Canadians seem to be accessing
funds in their RRSPs pre-retirement at an alarming rate.
Recent data shows that of the 1.9 million Canadians
who withdrew $9.3 billion from their RRSPs in 2008 (the
most recent year for which statistics are available), over
80 per cent of such withdrawals were made by individuals
below age 60. This suggests that RRSP funds are being
used well before normal retirement age to supplement
I agree with Mark – I think that most Canadian who have an RRSP, treat that money very seriously and will go to great lengths to avoid withdrawals. The idea that Canadians are withdrawing from their RRSPs at an “alarming rate“, presumably 80% – is quite surprising and one worthy of further analysis, because I don’t think it’s true.
According to Golombek- the statistic “80% of all RRSP withdrawals are made by people under 60 and not retired” is proof that investors do not consider RRSPs to be the savings holy grail and have no problem withdrawing from them, even when faced with large tax penalties.
Even if this is true, it’s not much of an argument for TFSAs. If an investor can’t keep their hands out of the RRSP jar, they most certainly won’t be able to keep it out of the TFSA jar either. The only difference being that you can recontribute TFSA withdrawals at a later date.
What kind of withdrawals are we talking about?
I’m surprised that the 80% figure (% of people who made RRSP withdrawals in 2008 and were under 60 vs. all people who made RRSP withdrawals) isn’t higher. Most people will convert their RRSPs to a RRIF or annuity before taking any money from their retirement savings, so I wouldn’t expect very many RRSP withdrawals at any age to be for retirement income.
Of course, there are a group of retired people (less than 72 years of age), who choose to keep all their money in RRSPs and still make withdrawals, but I don’t believe that is the norm. Most retired people don’t make withdrawals from their RRSPs. If they want to withdraw money, they will convert their RRSP to a RRIF and then make withdrawals.
In other words – very few retired people make RRSP withdrawals, so most RRSP withdrawals should be from people who are not retired. The fact that 80% of those withdrawals are by people under the age of 60 (vs all ages) is practically irrelevant for this discussion.
Golombek’s statement can easily be misconstrued as being “80% of all withdrawals from registered retirement savings (including RRIFs) are for non-retirement purposes“, which is obviously not the case. Withdrawals from RRIFs and other retirement vehicles are not counted as part of the total withdrawals.
What percent of assets are being withdrawn?
The number (1.9 million) of people who did an RRSP withdrawal in 2008, is high and that is a concern. If you assume 20 million Canadians have RRSP accounts (I’m guessing), that is a pretty high percentage (10%) of people dipping into their RRSP each year.
On the other hand – $9.3 billion withdrawn works out to just under $5,000 per person doing the withdrawals. This doesn’t sound all that significant to me and leads me to think that Mark’s theory about people withdrawing assets they shouldn’t have contributed in the first place, is probably correct.
I spent some time looking at the actual data which you can find here (line 17).
I’ve summarized the relevant 2008 data on a table:
[table id=10 /]
If you only consider the 0-59 crowd – 1.5 million Canadians made an RRSP withdrawal in 2008 and the total amount withdrawn was $6.1 billion. The average RRSP withdrawal for that age group was $4,000. Please note these withdrawal amounts do not include RRSP home buyers plan withdrawals or RRSP Lifelong Learner plan withdrawals since they are not considered taxable income.
There was $631 billion of RRSP assets in 2008, which means that the $6.1 billion in withdrawals represents just under 1.0% of those assets. If you assume that half (just a guess) of the $631 billion in RRSP assets were owned by people 59 or younger ($315.5 billion), then $6.1 billion in withdrawals is only 2.0% of those assets.
If people under 60 are collectively withdrawing 2% of their RRSP assets each year – that is not great news, but it certainly isn’t “alarming“.
Keep in mind there are a lot of reasons for withdrawing from an RRSP which are legitimate (at least compared to withdrawing for a vacation):
- Death of spouse
- Job loss
I agree with Mark that RRSPs do enjoy a psychological and tax “moat” which prevents people from dipping into their RRSP. This moat might give RRSPs an advantage over TFSAs for some people, even if the math indicates otherwise.
While I think Golombek created a great report comparing TFSAs and RRSPs, he is incorrect when he says that RRSP accounts are not considered a holy grail by the average investor.
The numbers suggest that non-retirement RRSP withdrawals are not very significant in terms of assets (only 2% of assets are withdrawn each year) and the majority of RRSP investors do not dip into their RRSPs to fund their pre-retirement lifestyle.
When deciding between a TFSA or RRSP, it’s important to keep in mind the psychological factors as well. If you are in a situation where investing in a TFSA is preferable to a RRSP, obviously the TFSA is a better choice – but only if you can keep the money inside the TFSA and out of your lifestyle.