Categories
Announcements

Are You Changing Your Asset Allocation? Contest for $$!

Glenn Cooke, President of InsureCan, is sponsoring a contest on this blog (and a few others listed below) where you can win one of two $50 Chapters gift cards. Here’s how to enter the contest:

In the comments – please answer the following question

“Have you changed (or are you going to change) your asset allocation as a result of the awful equity returns in the past year?   Please indicate any change ie “used to be 100% equities – now I’m zero percent equities”.

Answering this question will give you 1 chance at a gift certificate.  Subscribing to the blog if you don’t already do so, might also help your odds (but not likely) 🙂

Contest will be closed at 8 pm on Thursday, January 22.

Contest is open to Canadian residents only.

Check out similar contests at the Canadian Capitalist and the Financial Blogger.

Categories
Investing

REIT ETF? Or REIT Investment Trusts?

I’ve been pondering buying some REITs in order to increase the real estate allocation of my portfolio which is currently at zero. Several options have popped up:

  1. XRE – iShares REIT ETF which is made up of Canadian REITs.
  2. Buying just the top REIT (RioCan) in XRE.
  3. Buying the top three REITs in XRE.
  4. Buying the top eight REITs in XRE.
  5. American REITs most notably Vanguard REIT ETF (VNQ).

Today I will look at the first three options – feel free to suggest any others.

XRE – iShares Canadian REIT Sector Fund Index is my first choice for REITs. It replicates the S&P/TSX Capped REIT Index and fits very well with my (mostly) passive investment choice. The only problem with this particular ETF is that it has a high MER of 0.55%. Now 0.55% is not totally outrageous but it seems a bit high considering that you can buy the top three REITs in the index and get 50% of the market capitalization of XRE. Another option is to buy the top eight REITs and get 85% of the capitalization of XRE.

The amount I’m planning to own for REITs is about $20,000 which is about 8% of our portfolio. For the purposes of this comparison I’ll assume a 10 year investment time horizon.

  1. Paying 0.55% management fee of XRE per year will result in $110 per year in fees.
  2. Buying just RioCan (REI-UN.TO) will result in a $4.95 purchase fee which works out to $0.50 per year in fees. Problem is that this stock only covers 25% of the REIT index so diversification might not be good enough.
  3. Buying the top three Reits (RioCan, H&R, Can) will result in about $1.50 in fees per year. This will give me about 50% of the capitalization of the index which isn’t bad.
  4. Buying the top eight Reits (RioCan, H&R, Can, Boardwalk, Calloway, Chartwell Seniors Housing, Canada Apartment Properties, Primaris Retail) will result in about $4.00 in fees per year. This will give me about 85% of the capitalization of the index which is pretty darn good.

When I look at the numbers it’s pretty obvious that as long as I don’t care about following the REIT index too closely, buying XRE is a bit of a ripoff. I could probably buy every single REIT in the index and still save money on it’s MER. Buying the top REIT, the top three and the top eight are all pretty much the same cost given that they are all chump change. I think that the extra diversification of buying the top eight is worth the extra couple of bucks per year. With 85% of the index covered, that’s good enough for me. I’ve ignored rebalancing costs but since I’m not too concerned about following the index exactly, I don’t think those will be very much.

I still have to consider US REITs but that will be for another day.

Conclusion

For the amount of REITs I want to buy ($20k) and my trading fees ($4.95) I think that buying the top eight REITs in the REIT index will give me adequate diversification (85% of index) and low costs ($4 per year).

If anyone has any thoughts on my analysis then I’d love to hear them.

Categories
Personal Finance

Reader Question On US Dollar Investment

I posted on a reader question regarding buying a stock in Canadian or US dollars some time ago.

This is another question from that reader.

Ian writes that he has a large $US money market mutual fund sitting in a non registered account that for tax efficiency should be registered but he just can’t swallow the forex conversion at below par (he obtained the US$ when it was worth much more than the Canadian dollar).
My answer

As far as keeping your US$ money market in a non-reg account in the hope that it will go up – I would say that is not a good strategy. I’m not saying sell it, but rather you should look at your total investment portfolio, figure out asset allocation which will include different currencies and go from there. If you can fit in the US$ into a non-reg account then great, otherwise forget about the past and just set up the best portfolio you can starting now.

You are doing a lot of investing in US dollar securities which I think is a good move since the Canadian dollar is very high. It may hurt to convert the US dollar cash into Canadian dollars but if that’s the better move then you have to do it.

I saw Peter Lynch speak a number of years ago and one of the points that I remember best was his example of someone who bought a stock at $100, the stock goes down and the investor gets all despondent and just wishes the stock would go back up to $100 so that they can sell it and not lose any money. They refuse to sell the stock or buy more – they just want to sell the stock at the price they paid (ie get a refund). Lynch said that this is not a logical way to invest. You have to evaluate that stock at the new price and figure out if you would buy it at that price (ie keep it) or if not, then you should sell it.

I don’t know much about your overall portfolio but I can’t imagine that having a lot of money in a money market fund in a non-reg account fits in very well. If you were to put that money into an rrsp and buy US$ investments then you are really not converting anything (ignore the double currency conversion) – it will still be US$.

Please note that I am not a financial advisor and you should consult with a professional financial advisor before implementing any financial changes.

Categories
Investing

My New Asset Allocation (Part XIV)

Yes, that’s right – after reading countless books and posts about asset allocation and writing several convoluted and contradictory posts on the topic myself, I’ve finally decided on an asset allocation model for our investments. The problem with asset allocation is that there is a lot of theory behind various models and the more you know about the subject then the more confused you will probably get. I’ve concluded recently that maybe just picking a simpler asset allocation is probably the best approach since I’m not sure how much it really matters what your exact asset allocation is, as long as you pick one and stick with it.

And now (drum roll please..) on with the allocation!

Equities vs Bonds

The split will be 75% equities and 25% bonds. I like to have a fairly aggressive portfolio but at the same time the bonds will steady the returns and will also allow for more equity purchases in case the equity markets go off a cliff. According to Mr. Bernstein, 75% equity gives you the maximum benefit from owning equities.

Equities 75%

These percentages are of the equity portion (not percentage of the total portfolio).

Canadian equity – 25%

US equity – 37.5%

International equity – 37.5%

Bonds – 25%

20% is a short term Canadian bond ETF (iShares XSB) and some GICs.

5% is a real return bond ETF (iShares XRB). Real return bonds are a hedge against inflation and are supposed to be negatively correlated with regular bonds.

Other asset classes?

What about real estate and emerging markets? I’ve decided not to invest in those right now because both of these classes have done so well in the past several years that it’s hard for me to justify buying them. I’m also not convinced that emerging markets are all that great an investment. When you consider the exposure that a lot of North American companies have to developing markets, I already have enough emerging market in my portfolio.

Anybody want to share their asset allocation philosophies?

Click here to open an account with Questrade

Categories
RESP

RESP – Asset Allocations

This post is part of the Big RESP Series. See the entire series here.

See the previous post on resp withdrawals here.

When setting up a resp account it’s important to determine and monitor the asset allocation of the account. Typically the asset allocation is determined by the risk profile of the investor and the amount of time remaining until the money is required. Equities are considered risky assets but over a longer term they are fairly reliable. If you are making an investment and you need the money in two years then equities are not advisable because there is too much risk that their value will go down over those two years. Short term bonds or a high interest savings account is a better investment for money that is required in the short term. The idea is not get superior returns but to ensure that the money is there when needed.

So if equities are a good investment over the long term but not the short term, the question has to be asked – how long is the “long” term and how short is the “short” term. I would say that short term is anything less than five years and the long term is 15 years or more. Please note that this is strictly my opinion so don’t write it in stone!

Unlike retirement planning where you don’t know how long the portfolio will be in use for, RESP planning is a bit easier since you can make a pretty good estimate of the start date of withdrawals and the end date of withdrawals.

For this example I’ll assume that the student goes to school starting the year they turn 17 and finish up four years later.
I’ll go through different stages of the resp in terms of how old the student is:

Age range

Equity %

Bonds %

0-5

100

0

6-11

60

40

12-17

40

60

In school

0

100

Once they are starting school all the money will be withdrawn within five years so it should be in very safe securities such as high interest savings accounts, short term bonds or money market funds.

If you are a more conservative investor then you might want to do the following:

Age range

Equity %

Bonds %

0-5

60

40

6-11

50

50

12-17

25

75

In school

0

100

I would invest equally in Canadian, US and EAFE for the equity portion and in short term bonds ETF or a bond index fund for the bond portion. You can add other asset classes to the mix as well. This example is intended to show a simple asset allocation.

I’ve indicated the allocations at five or six year terms. If you are really keen and plan to rebalance every year then you can also adjust the allocation every year.

Obviously none of the above allocations are perfect for every investor so try to keep in mind the idea that money which is required in the short term should be invested in safe investments and try to adapt the above suggestions to your situation.

See the next post on RESP Individual and Family Plans.